Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Beaten-Down Condos: 'Deals of lifetime'

For the first time in years there is a glimmer of hope in the condo market. After falling 20% nationwide and 60% or more in the hardest-hit areas, median condo prices remained flat nationally in the first quarter vs. a year earlier.

And sales in March were up 40% from the previous year, hinting that prices might be heading back up soon too.

So is now the time to pounce?

On the side of yes: Prices and mortgage rates are low, and choices are plentiful. Plus, thanks to new, stricter financing rules on government-backed loans, qualified buyers face less competition.

But many condo hot spots were seriously overbuilt during the boom -- which sent prices falling at an even faster rate than those of single-family homes.

"There are deals of a lifetime out there -- if you can handle the risk," says Jack McCabe, a Florida housing analyst.

Answering these three questions can help you decide:

Could you get a better deal by waiting?

A condo that's fallen, say, 30% in price over the past few years still isn't a deal if it may fall another 15% or more before hitting bottom. Or at least, it's certainly not the best deal you can hope for.

So ask a realtor who specializes in condos in the area where you're looking to buy about the recent direction of prices and whether inventory is rising or falling -- even if sales have picked up, a glut of partially completed projects that might come to market soon could keep inventory high.

Firming prices combined with shrinking supply indicates the market is at or near a low and it's probably a smart time to make your move.

Don't be afraid to bargain hard. Your starting offer should be about 10% under the asking price for a re-sale, and you can be even more aggressive bidding on a new unit, says San Diego realtor Mark Mills.

How will you finance the purchase?

Condo prices are a lot more volatile than those of single-family homes. That's led banks to impose tougher requirements on anyone looking to finance a condo deal. Almost all lenders want you to come in with at least a 20% down payment; some also require three to six months' maintenance fees in escrow.

And rules that took effect last year mean most condo buyers will also have to pay a financing fee equal to 0.75% of the loan amount.

Plus, second homes and investment properties will get dinged with higher mortgage rates -- up to a full point higher than on a primary residence.

You'll probably also need a thumbs-up from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHA on the condo complex. Any mortgage they back must conform to new rules created in the wake of the real estate crash: In general, at least 85% of the homeowners need to be current on dues, and the development must have more than 10% of its annual budget in a reserve fund.

In addition, no single person or company can own more than 10% of the units. Your lender should be able to tell you if a complex meets the new guidelines.

Is it safe to invest in the development?

Buying into a financially shaky development can turn your dream digs into a money pit. Overbuilding and foreclosures have led to a lot of half-full complexes, which mean fewer homeowners paying dues. If the homeowners association ends up with a deficit, it will issue a special assessment on current owners to cover the shortfall or increase the monthly maintenance fee.

To avoid this outcome, try to confine your search to finished developments in which at least 80% of the units are occupied; avoid new construction in which the developer is still a major owner. Your realtor should be able to provide this information.

Before you place a bid, it's also a good idea to talk to residents or sit in on a board meeting to find out if the development is neglecting the grounds or cutting back amenities, says Jed Smith, an economist with the National Association of Realtors. And if you have any doubts about the financial health of the development, walk away.

After all, in this market, you have plenty of options to choose from.

Source: CNN

Friday, June 25, 2010

All Rates But 1-Year ARM Hit Record Lows In Freddie Mac Weekly Survey

Freddie Mac released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.69 percent with an average 0.7 point for the week ending June 24, 2010, down from last week when it averaged 4.75 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.42 percent.

The 15-year FRM this week averaged 4.13 percent with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.20 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 4.87 percent.

The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 3.84 percent this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.89 percent. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 4.99 percent.

The 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 3.77 percent this week with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 3.82 percent. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 4.93 percent. This is the lowest the 1-year ARM has been since the week ending May 6, 2004 when it averaged 3.76 percent.

(Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.)

"Mortgage rates for all but traditional 1-year ARMs hit all-time record lows this week in our survey while activity in the housing market slowed in May following the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. "Freddie Mac began collecting rates for 30-year fixed loans in April 1971, 15-year fixed mortgages in September 1991 and 5-year hybrid ARMs in January 2005. The record low for traditional 1-year ARMs of 3.36 percent occurred during the week of March 25, 2004.

"Both new and existing home sales showed unexpected declines in May. Existing sales fell 2.2 percent, compared to the market consensus forecast of a 6.0 percent gain, based on figures published by the National Association of Realtors®. Sales of new homes fell 32.7 percent to an annualized rate of 300,000 units, which was the largest monthly drop and slowest pace since records began in 1963, according to the Census Bureau.

Source: Freddie Mac

Builder Confidence Declines in June

Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes declined five points in June, falling to 17, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). The component gauging home sales expectations for the next six months decreased four points to 23 in June compared with May. The component gauging traffic of prospective buyers declined two points, falling to 14, according to the report. Every region nationwide also posted losses, with the West, which includes California, posting a four-point loss.

Source: National Association of Home Builders

California Median Home Price, Home Sales Rise in May

Home sales increased 1.2 percent in May in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home rose 23.2 percent, C.A.R. reported yesterday.

“Home sales posted their third largest increase on record for May, due in part to first-time home buyers who timed the open and close of escrow in order to capitalize on both the federal and state tax credits,” said C.A.R. President Steve Goddard. “May also marked the fifth month of double-digit gains in the median price, indicative of strong buyer demand relative to the supply of homes for sale. With a 4.6-month supply of homes for sale, unsold inventory continues to be well below the long-run average of seven months, and will continue to drive price appreciation over the next several months.”

The median price of an existing, single-family detached home in California during May 2010 was $324,430, a 23.2 percent increase from the revised $263,440 median for May 2009, C.A.R. reported. The May 2010 median price increased 5.9 percent compared with April’s $306,230 median price.

Source: California Association of Realtors


Percentage of Homes with Price Reductions Declines in June

A new report found 22 percent of homes listed for sale nationwide experienced at least one price reduction as of June 1 compared with 23.6 percent in June 2009, according to Trulia.com. The average discount for price-reduced homes remained unchanged at 10 percent of the listing price.

Cities in the Western U.S. experienced the largest decreases in price reductions compared with the previous year. Las Vegas led the way with a 67 percent decrease and six California cities (Oakland, San Jose, Los Angeles, Sacramento, San Francisco, and San Diego) experienced a price reduction of 24 percent or more, according to the report.

Price reduction levels for luxury homes--those listed at $2 million and higher--continued to hold steady with 21 percent of homes experiencing a price reduction and an average reduction of 14 percent off the listing price.

Source: Trulia

DRE, State Attorney General Issue Short-Sale Fraud Warning

California Attorney General Edmund G. Brown Jr., the California DRE, and the State Bar of California recently issued a warning to homeowners about the sudden and steep increase in short-sale fraud statewide.

In the warning, homeowners, home buyers, real estate agents, and lenders were made aware of red flags that may appear when working with or paying a short-sale negotiator, including: A negotiator working without a license; charging up-front fees without prior written permission from the DRE to do so; adding surcharges and hidden fees to place an offer on a home; and misrepresenting current market conditions and only submitting offers on the property from an affiliated straw buyer.

Short sale negotiators and agents may use a variety of titles including: Debt negotiator, debt resolution expert, loss mitigation practitioner, foreclosure rescue negotiator, short sale processor, short sale coordinator, and short sale expeditor.

Homeowners wishing to file complaints related to short-sale fraud can do so by calling the attorney general’s office at (800) 952-5225 or filing a complaint online at www.ag.ca.gov/consumers/general.php. To file a complaint against a lawyer, a legal specialist, or a company purporting to operate as a law firm with the California State Bar, homeowners should call (800) 843-9053 or visit www.calbar.ca.gov.

Source: Office of the Attorney General

Fast Facts

Calif. median home price: May 2010: $324,430

Calif. highest median home price by C.A.R. region May 2010: Santa Barbara So. Coast $905,000

Calif. lowest median home price by C.A.R. region May 2010: High Desert $126,430

Calif. First-time Buyer Affordability Index - First quarter 2010: 66 percent

Mortgage rates: Week ending 6/17/2010 30-yr. fixed: 4.75 Fees/points: 0.7% 15-yr. fixed: 4.20% Fees/points: 0.7% 1-yr. adjustable: 3.82% Fees/points: 0.6%

Source: California Association of Realtors and Freddie Mac